Monday, December 19, 2011
Not Feeling Like Christmas...
Trees have been put up, Lites are glowing, decorations make it look a lot like Christmas but the weather map over the SE says otherwise. Why? Because the trough remains over the west bringing them the cold air and snow with the SE staying mainly mild and dry. There appears to be a small pattern shift coming over the weekend that could bring some colder air for Christmas Day, but the moisture will be long gone by then so Santa will have to ride South without any snow. If you recall, NOAA, Joe Bastardi and all the folks who try to predict weather months in advance, indicated December would be the cold & snowy month over the east with Jan-Feb turning milder. So far that has not happened. In fact, just the opposite could happen with January or February being the really cold months. One thing is certain...the blocking pattern we saw the past several winters is not there so far this winter.
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4 comments:
Just goes to show what I've thought all along... any forecast beyond 72 hours is science fiction. Seven day forecasts are a waste of time since they change every day. It really ticks me off when TV stations have the nerve to refer to such forecasts as "pinpoint" or "exact."
That's the beauty of Weather.As we used to say in Geology. It works a six day week, and on Sunday anything can happen. I have been a weather buff since a child. Just like the 100 year snow event in Dec. 2008. It was completely unpredicted. I graduated from high schhol in 1978 , the same year Bob came to NOLA. Been a big fan ever since!
LL
yep Bob knows his stuff... and I like how he keeps things interesting and very informative :) Keep up the great work, Bob.
Don't get me wrong - I'm a fan of Bob's, too. Otherwise, I wouldn't check this blog every day. When he retires I'll miss him. It's just a shame meteorologists have to rely so heavily on "reliable" models that constantly flip-flop and disagree with each other. I've been watching the forecast for this coming Friday for the past few days. First, it's not going to rain. Then it is. Then it's not. We won't know for sure until Friday morning.
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