Monday, August 27, 2012
Isaac moving more west?
Latest satellite loops show Isaac has taken a slight jog to the west. Is this a trend or a temporary "wobble". Frankly, I don't know as computer models still have a spread between near Houston to Mobile. I still feel Isaac is going to do something that surprises us...like rapid intensification. Tuesday PM thru dark on Wednesday will be our worse weather conditions. Of course the track will dictate who gets clobbered the worse, but unless Isaac keeps on a more westward course well off shore to our south, we will get quite a hammering for 24-36 hours beginning midday on Tuesday. Rainfall amounts could exceed 10 " with the surge in Lake P. 5-10 feet. We do have a much stronger levee system post Katrina and Isaac will give it a good test. More to come later this PM after next NHC advisory at 4 PM. Stay tuned!
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7 comments:
It looks to me like it's been moving almost due west most of the day. I looked at the computer models graphic on Weather Underground and they'd plotted the center of the storm WEST of the most westerly model! Could this be for real? Could it go well enough west of us that it would just be a heavy rain event for us? That would be great.
It looks to me like it's been moving almost due west most of the day. I looked at the computer models graphic on Weather Underground and they'd plotted the center of the storm WEST of the most westerly model! Could this be for real? Could it go well enough west of us that it would just be a heavy rain event for us? That would be great.
Unless it intensifys into a Cat 3 not really any surprises left. NHC was calling for it to be a Cat 2 before backing off that. My take Isaac is just to large for any rapid intensfying.
I suspect that the surprise is going to be how far west the eventual landfall spot ends up.
The satellite image still appears to be pretty ragged.
This is a monster, going to be a disaster!!!!
I agree with Bob and the VIPIR...we're taking this one up the gut.
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