Still Florida's Storm...

Satellite loops this evening continue to show TD 9 struggling to get better organized.  It also has finally started the turn to the north.  Since the westward motion was longer than predicted, NHC has shifted the center line track farther to the west.  However, that should not change the minimum impacts (coastal high tides & rough seas) for SE LA/MS.   What is really surprising is the lack of development since TD 9 is well away from land and over the warm Gulf waters.   It once again shows that water temperatures are not the main factor in development & that wind shear and dry air have ruled this system so far.    I’ll be on FOX 8 at 9 & 10 PM with David Bernard and again with Shelby Latino at 6 AM just to make sure the NHC forecast doesn’t change.   The shifting of the track farther up Florida’s west coast should spare the Tampa Bay area from the highest storm surges.  What is interesting regarding this system is the computer model solutions after it leaves the Gulf and heads up the east coast.  Some are showing it stalling south of Long Island as a strong TS or Hurricane!  That will have all the media outlets in major overhype for the Labor Day weekend.  For us, we should see drier air rotate around TD 9/Hermine making for hot days but comfortable nights, especially on the North Shore.   The next system coming off of Africa is, RIGHT NOW, expected to turn up the east coast and follow TD 9/ Hermine as an even stronger system.  That could give them a double whammy, much like Hawaii with 2 strong hurricanes heading their way.   For now, let’s be thankful for dodging yet another storm.  With the MJO going into the favorable (rising air) phase for the next 2-3 weeks, we could be dealing with several threats as we get into mid-September.  Stayed tuned!