Jose May threaten East Coast?

Once Cat. 4 Hurricane Jose is now just a Tropical Storm, however, he has made the well-advertised loop and is heading back closer to the U.S.   NHC expects him to become a Cat. 1 hurricane tomorrow and most computer models keep him just offshore  before turning away from the East Coast.    The Euro has been trending farther westward and folks from New Jersey to Cape Cod need to pay attention in case that trend continues.   There is more action out in the Atlantic and we could be tracking another 2 storms (Lee, Maria) later this week.  I am encouraged to see that EPAC ( Eastern Pacific) has sprung by to life with several potential disturbances.  My experience tells me that (usually) when the Eastern Pacific is very active, the Atlantic Basin is not.  For the past 3-4 weeks the Atlantic Basin/Gulf/Caribbean has been very active while the Pacific went quiet.  Let’s hope we see the pattern changing where the Atlantic goes quiet as the Pacific turns active.  No model shows any tropical activity in the Gulf for the next 7-10 days.  We only need another 3-4 weeks to get us into October when our chances for a major hurricane hitting us goes to near zero.   Sure we can get a Juan (1985) type storm hit us in late October, but those kind of storms don’t require evacuations.   Unfortunately, I don’t see any major cold front coming for the next 2 weeks.  We still need to pay attention until those fronts arrive and start cooling down the Gulf.  Stay tuned!

 

The AGW Alarmists are coming out of the woodwork with Harvey, Irma & Jose all being major hurricanes.  USA TODAY stated “ the reality is that there is almost certainly a connection between a warming planet & the GROWING severity of storms”.  Huh?  We have just gone through the longest stretch (nearly 12 years) when ZERO major hurricanes crossed the U.S. Coast line.  In the past (1920-1969), 10 hurricanes Cat. 4 or 5 crossed the U.S. coast lines.   From 1970 through 2017 (including this year), only five Cat. 4 or 5 hurricanes have hit the U.S.   It appears to me there were more intense hurricanes years ago and that our current warming CYCLE produces FEWER major storms.  But those facts don’t fit the agenda.  Take Hurricane Harvey…his heavy rainfall was typical of many past hurricanes, but what was the difference?  Harvey stalled focusing most of the rain over Texas & SW LA. Instead of spreading it across many states.  Did warming cause Harvey to stall?  Of course not.  It was a weather pattern that has happened over Texas many times in the past allowing tropical systems to linger.  But it seems there are many who believe the way to solve problems is to increase taxes (Carbon Tax).   The craziest idea I just heard today…in the future when robots replace many workers, we should tax the robots!  Egad, where will it end?

 

Our delightful stretch of cooler weather is about to end.  The next 2 weeks look to return to summer-like heat & humidity.  But don’t despair, the fronts up north are getting stronger as Montana has dropped into the 40s with some snow at higher elevations.  It’s only a matter of time before Mother Nature does her thing and we cool down.  It’s called Fall.