Tuesday, May 21, 2019

Waste of a Name...

Did NHC jump the trigger on naming Andrea?   She didn't even last 24 hours.  Of course, it's easy to be a "Monday Morning QB" as there was a brief burst of storms yesterday around a low level center.  In the 70s & 80s, this would just be an area of low pressure, but as technology has improved, so have we increased the number of named storms.  I get it.  Technically correct, but it just makes comparing past to present very difficult.

I thought today was a great feeling day even though we almost touched 90 again.   As long as we avoid temps above 95+, I can handle it.  As David pointed out, a big upper ridge is developing over the Southeast that will likely produce our first stretch of 90+ days lasting into next week.  In fact, once in June through early September our daily highs historically average 90+.  With that kind of daytime heating, T-Storms typically develop late morning into late afternoon.  However, when we have an upper ridge suppressing upward lift,  we stay mostly dry.  That should be the case into next week.

More heavy rains are falling over the upper Mississippi River Basin. The Carrollton gauge remains near 17' and will slowly fall beginning later this weekend.  If the heavy rains keep falling farther to the north during the next several weeks, we could see the River level staying above 15' through most of June.   The concern then becomes us seeing an early season tropical system develop in the Gulf.  Some past storms have backed water levels 3-5+ feet  and we would like our River level to be well less than 15' as that gives us only a little wiggle room before water over tops the levees.   It's just another added worry as Hurricane season 2019 approaches.  Stay tuned!

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