Birth of Barry?

Last night I indicated it didn't appear likely the disturbance over the southern Gulf would have enough time to develop into Tropical Storm Barry.   This morning's visible/daylight satellite loops show a much better swirl over the extreme southern Gulf that is moving very little.  In addition, some banding features are developing and AF Recon will investigate later this PM.  I now expect they will find a low level circulation and will name it Barry if  the recon finds winds 39+ mph.   Most computer models drift this system slowly NW, but several then turn it back towards the NE and head it to Louisiana for next week.   I hate to speculate on something that isn't there yet so without an initial center, models are likely to be all over the board.   The good news is we are not in August or September and the Gulf waters aren't super hot yet.    The impacts from early season storms focus more on the rain potential than the winds.    This disturbance could just drift into Mexico and not bother the U.S. at all.  Just wanted to give you a heads up in case you see "Tropical Storm Barry forms over the Southern Gulf".    It is not and should not ever be our problem, but I know strange things happen with tropical systems so we need to pay attention so we have no surprised.  I'll have an update once NHC determines what we're dealing with down over the Bay of Campeche.  Stay tuned!