Sunday, August 30, 2020

Coming Soon? Nana, Omar & Paulette

We, historically,  are in the most active part of the Hurricane Season and 2020 is proving that to be accurate.  Waves are lined up over Africa, out into the Atlantic and now into the Caribbean.   So far we have no named storms to follow but that will change.



I've highlighted 4 areas to watch and NHC believes the farther westward one will become our next named storm (Nana) in 1-2 days.  This disturbance has become better organized today but T-Storms are not tightly clustered just yet.  Still NHC has increased chances for developing up to 80%.




We are still in the favorable (rising air) of the MJO so don't be surprised to see several named storms happening at the same time.   If Nana doesn't form quickly, there is a frontal boundary along the East coast into the northern Gulf that has a weak low rotating just east of the Georgia coast and NHC gives that a 70% chance to develop.  So we could have Nana & Omar at the same time.  We need not worry about the east coast disturbance since it'll race out to sea.  The Caribbean system RIGHT NOW, appears to be at a low latitude streaking to the west that would take it into central America, but that could change.


So the real question should be...which one will be first?  Nana & Omar should form before Tuesday. 
We are just north of that boundary that lingers along the northern Gulf Coast with heavy storms training over the same areas.

Where it's storming, look how much cooler it is. Where it's sunny it feels like summer.  The surface map doesn't show any fronts coming our way just yet.  However, note how much drier (lower dew points) it is north of Tennessee.  The real coolness remains up in Canada, but models still hint we could see some of that the second week in September.



Finally, I showed you yesterday some of my old tracking charts.  Today I highlight Ken Aucoin and Al Duckworth and Howard Bernstein.


Ken stayed with me for 16 years before leaving to be the Chief Meteorologist at WIS-TV in Columbia, South Carolina. He later left television for a position in emergency management.  The late Al Duckworth came over from Ch. 4 but only stayed for 2 years.  He had the best voice of all the weather people I worked with.  Howard Bernstein joined me in the late 80s and moved on to Oklahoma City, Rochester and then Washington D.C. where he has been for 20 years.  I am proud to have mentored so many who moved on to greater success.  Next update later tonight.  Stay tuned!

7 comments:

Donna said...

Thanks Bob for all you do for us.....GOD BLESS

Mike J said...

What would cause the wave in the Caribbean to move to the wnw or new into the Gulf?

Unknown said...

i wonder if you knew Baton Rouge Pat Shingleton ?

Anonymous said...

Thanks for the update!

nolalady said...

Thank you for always caring enough to share your knowledge

Unknown said...

Thank you for sharing and caring about giving us information we can count on.

Circa1976 said...

Lol!! I remember THAT Bob Breck ��