Slight Nudge to the West...

The latest NHC discussion indicated that, based on satellite views, they have shifted the center line track of Tropical Storm Delta slightly to the south and west.  This might concern some of you, but remember, Recon aircraft will have a far better fix on the center location when they arrive later this afternoon.  NHC even mentioned they essentially have the same track as before.

The satellite presentation of Gamma & Delta sure has changed as Gamma is a well defined low level swirl, but all the T-Storms have been swept away to the NE.  NHC now takes this back into the Yucatan and weakens it during the next couple of days.  Delta on the other hand is getting better defined all the time.

With the warmest waters on the planet over the NW Caribbean and the lack of any wind shear hindering development, Delta should quickly become a Hurricane later today or on Tuesday.  It will not reach the Gulf until Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

So what will steer Delta on her track into the Gulf?  Right now there is a large, cool & dry surface high pressure over the Southeast that is drifting to the east.

There is a cold front up over Montana & North Dakota that will push southward this week.   As the high pulls off the east coast, it will allow an avenue for Delta to move northward into the Gulf.  As the next front approaches late in the week, the upper trough steering it should begin to turn Delta to the north and then NE.  How soon that happens will be the key.  Since I've had some wi-fi issues getting this post out, I'll have more thoughts later this afternoon.  Stay tuned!