Based on what I'm seeing on satellite loops, Tropical Storm Zeta will be named this afternoon. NHC is waiting on a current Recon flight to send data that will confirm the upgrade to 95L.
The issue made be, is the T-Storms aligned with the surface center? NHC now says there is a 90% chance (translation, it's gonna happen) that 95L will develop.
Early model runs bring the system towards the northern Gulf with the Euro being the western most making landfall near Morgan City on Wednesday.
Until we have a center to track and several days of model runs, we're back into watch & wait. I won't go over why this storm will not be a Laura or Delta as we're no longer in the heat of summer. The bloggers will try to get everyone nervous, but I'm not into that. If you want that, I suggest you go elsewhere.
Locally, a cold front has staggered through, but the core of the cold will stay to our west and north. In fact, dew points are only slightly lower so it still feels humid.
Lots of low clouds linger well behind the front, but we should break out into some sunny breaks this afternoon. The focus for the next couple of days will be on soon to be Zeta. I'll post later today when NHC comes out with their 4 PM advisory. Stay tuned!
11 comments:
Thank you for the update!
The trend is our friend. The models keep shifting to the West. Hopefully we’ll get something out of this one.
Hurricane lover
Bob just literally said Thursday if this developed it would head east over Florida and not be a Gulf problem... geezz whizzee.. Guy can't forecasting any storms correctly this year.
Wait wasn't this suppose to go into Florida just a day ago? Come on Bob loosing my faith in you after this year.
Looks like the fat lady didn't sing after all. Someone screwed up.
As I said weeks ago - more than 48 out hours, educated guess. Uncertainty is part of the game.
As I said weeks ago - more than 48 out hours, educated guess. Uncertainty is part of the game.
As I said weeks ago - more than 48 out hours, educated guess. Uncertainty is part of the game.
Educated guess.
Sorry for the duplication. My bad!
Barry can't "writing" with correct grammer either. Guess he's just a dolt.
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