Gulf System Struggling Tonight...

The 10 PM NHC update has no surprises as satellite views show a very disorganized system that has most of the rainy weather well east of any center of rotation.  In fact, to me it appears this disturbance remains an open wave/inverted trough that is lifting towards the northern Gulf coast.

NHC continues to project an area of low pressure will close off and intensify into Tropical Storm Claudette tomorrow.  I'm not sure that will happen.  Whatever forms will be a minimal Tropical Storm at best.  Their track remains the same from the 4 pm one.

The strom warnings and surge estimates remain the same too.   It appears the threat for heaviest rainfall is shifting more to the east although NWS Slidell still keeps the 6-8" amounts for metro NOLA.

My thinking is more in the 1-3" range with the 3" east of us in Mississippi.  Some showers are approaching the coast tonight as surface winds are trying to shift more to the ESE.   Since I don't think there will be a well defined center to track, the earlier discussion regarding wind direction becomes less important.

Even the off shore wave heights are not very impressive.   Hope you watched David on FOX 8 at 10 PM since his graphics and discussion are what I'm thinking.   Whether this system gets a name or not, it will not become a strong storm.   If you're inside the levees you have little concern tonight.  There could be some high water outside the levees, but it should not be a big deal.   I'll try to post several times tomorrow.  The less I post mean very little new information.  Stay tuned!