Elsa Remains Well Behaved, But Struggles As She Approaches Cuba...

Elsa was downgraded to a Tropical Storm this morning and she continues to struggle as parts of her circulation are interacting with the mountains of Haiti.  Fortunately, her path has not had any wobbles, loops or changes in course.  NHC is staying with their forecast issued days ago.

In the above satellite views, you can see how disorganized Elsa is looking.  Without the Hurricane Hunter aircraft pinpointing the center, it would be difficult to tell where it is from satellite views.  The thinking remains the same regarding why Elsa will recurve around the Atlantic Ridge/Bermuda High. The worst impacts from this storm will be heavy rainfall over Florida.   

A deep upper tough over the Eastern states has brought a cold front almost down to us.  Elsa will head towards that front/weakness and then turn to the NE.   That front came close, but it stopped right over us.  I felt it might have enough momentum to push to the coast, but the computer models correctly stalled it out.  My bad.

Lots of clouds & showers have kept temps. almost pleasant.  Look at dew points in the 50s (dry air) across north Louisiana where it was sunny all day.

We had 2 bands of heavy downpours set up south of the front this afternoon and they didn't move (training effect) for several hours.  Some spots picked up 2-3" of rain prompting the NWS to issue Flash Flood Warnings.  The bottom radar view shows both lines had diminished and most showers will end as the sun sets.  If we're lucky, the frontal boundary will stagger to our south on Sunday filtering in drier air behind it.  Unless I see something develop regarding Elsa, I won't post again until after daybreak.  Happy 4th of July and stay tuned!