I'm posting early since I'm playing in a charity golf tourney this PM. Here's my Tropical update. Let's begin why we need not worry about a tropical Threat & why we saw flooding impacts from Alberto despite his being weak & far away. I borrowed these graphics from Zack Fradella's morning program.
So onshore brisk winds blowing for many days will result in coastal flooding even if we don't have a tropical threat. This morning's satellite view still finds lots of disturbed weather to watch. The first is over the Caribbean & Yucatan.
NHC is expecting a possible repeat of Alberto with a low forming this weekend in the southern Gulf going into Mexico early next week. Not our problem as it will follow the upper low low on water vapor.
You can see a surge of tropical moisture (lime green area) over the SE Gulf. That upper heat dome will block that from coming too far north. The other area is east of Florida.
There certainly is a low level swirl and I salute NHC from jumping on naming this yet. They have increased the probability for development to 60% and I'm thinking it will at least become a depression on their 4 PM update. Again this is not our storm. So you know we'll have a hot and mostly dry weekend here. Stay hydrated if your working or playing outside. Stay tuned!
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