Wednesday, September 17, 2025

Finally Have Gabrielle, No Named Storm Lingers, Few Storms For Us

NHC has named the 7th named storm of the 2025 hurricane season way out in the Atlantic that might become this season's 2nd hurricane over the weekend.  Satellite views are not very impressive and NHC relocated the center farther to the north of previous positions.  Regardless, this storm will not impact the U.S. coastline, turning to the north towards Bermuda.




It appears the center of Gabrielle is exposed on the western side with all the storms to the NE.   That indicates to me upper wind shear and development in the short term will be limited.



This movement to the NW & then curving has been seen with previous storms.  Why is that happening?  The feature often called the "Bermuda High" has not been there this year, with the center of the Atlantic Ridge located way farther to the east.


That allows a weakness along the East Coast that forces to turn to the north.  That trend shows no signs of changing soon.  Once again, a boundary has set up from the western Caribbean to the NE.   Strong upper SW shear across the Gulf will prevent any development in the short term.


Now back to the "No named Storm" that battered Virginia & the Chesapeake Bay. yesterday.  Joe Bastardi was very critical about this not getting a name as a hybrid system.  Look at these graphics.




The impacts on land were far greater than those from Tropical Storm Barry back in June.  So why wasn't this named yet Barry was?   Residents were caught off guard by such winds, rains & flooding.  I don't have any answer here.  

Again, IF we are to get a threat this year, it will have to come from an in-close system and not from the Atlantic.  Once model (A I) does see something in the Gulf for early October.


No other model shows that.  Locally, we have seen a few storms today.




Some folks are getting cooling relief.  No rain?  It's back to 90+.



Geez, the extended offers little hope for heat relief.  So, I'm announcing tomorrow's new podcast will be Ron Swoboda, former World Series hero of the '69 New York Mets & sports director at FOX 8.  But you can't see Ron unless you subscribe to my podcast at bobbreck.com.


The cost is $2/month (7 cents a day) with future guests, hurricane experts Bryan Norcross & Jim Cantore.  Even more exciting guests to follow so sign up now.  Stay tuned!

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