Gabrielle Is Coming, But Where? Summer To linger Another Week Here

 We have reached mid-September without any named storm over the Atlantic Basin, a rare event indeed. Yesterday,  I mentioned a system off the Carolina coasts that might turn into something, and that feeling is still there today.  In fact, the visible/daylight satellite loop clearly finds a well defined low level swirl, but strong upper wind shear is preventing anything from developing.

There are some high wave heights with this system, but the water vapor view has a deep trough remaining along the East Coast and that should limit any development.  NHC is not even mentioning it. The more likely scenario is Gabrielle forms out in the Atlantic.

All models take whatever forms just like the last couple of disturbances.  They turn it to the north long before threating the U.S. as the center of the Atlantic Ridge remains way out leaving a weakness along the East Coast.   As long as the Gulf and Caribbean stay quiet, we have no worries.

No model develops anything over the Gulf through the end of this month.  I know that makes it hard for many of you to commit to my new podcast.  However, I will have guests that will make it well worth the $2/month charge.

Already we have Ron Swoboda , Bryan Norcross & Jim Cantore committed to appear, but you won't be able to see or hear them unless you sign up at bobbreck.com.  Thanks to those who already have subscribed.  Locally, hot & dry is the name of the game.

80s have surged up to Minneapolis, St. Louis is near 100 while we've been back 90+.

With such a boring forecast for the next week, I'll try to have some guests on who at least can make us laugh and understand life is more than just about the weather.  Go sign up & stay tuned!