Tuesday, September 16, 2025

No Name Storm Batters Virginia/Jersey Coasts, No Gabrielle Yet

As NHC has been focused on the MDR for our next named storm, a strong hybrid system is clobbering the Delmarva Peninsula with heavy rains & wind gusts to 50 mph.   Joe Bastardi of Weather Bell Analytics said this is a classic example of NHC ignoring impacts despite this system being non-tropical (cold core).  He mentioned Tropical Storm Barry was named back in June despite having higher surface pressures and less of a satellite presentation than this no named system. So it's a hybrid.


 


So, even though it doesn't have a name, impacts are impacts, and many coastal communities are being battered with high tides, high surf & rip currents.  NHC remains focused out in the Atlantic.



That's where they believe, and models show development coming later this week.




There are no T-Storms forming around the low-level center of circulation, and NHC is keeping 92 L just an Invest.  Whatever develops, models turn it well to the north away from the U.S.  As I keep mentioning, IF we are to get a tropical threat during the next 4-5 weeks, it will come from the western Caribbean & Gulf.



We do have clusters of T-Storms aligned north to south, but the Gulf remains in a hostile upper environment. Right now, we have an upper trough over the Gulf creating strong upper wind shear.



In fact, until the upper pattern changes and becomes progressive, look for little change in our weather until next week at the soonest.





There have been a few stray showers, but most of us remain dry.  That means temps back above 90+.



I think it may be wishful thinking for next week, trying to bring a front on through.  Today I recorded a podcast with Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross.  We talked about how quiet it's been for the past 3 weeks during the heart of the hurricane season.  This has never happened in most of our lifetimes.



Of course, you cannot hear Bryan's opinions or the history of his life, which is quite different than mine, unless you subscribe to my podcast at bobbreck.com.  The cost is just $2/month and is well worth hearing from the legends.



Coming up on Thursday's podcast will be the life of my World Series Hero ('69 Mets), Ron Swoboda.  If you love baseball, sign up to hear Ron talk about some of the greats of the game.  Stay tuned!

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