NHC has marked the northern Gulf as the location of a weak low. They give it near zero chances for development due to strong wind shear & lots of dry air. However, it continues to be there and has a cluster of storms east of the apparent center. No model develops it, but it's something we need to pay attention to since it will bring us a heavy rain threat on Sunday.
A tighter look at the near shore buoys have wave heights over 10 feet. I would not be surprised to see NHC come out with a special statement indicating a tropical depression could be forming. I think they are feeling there is too much upper shear, plus look at all the dry air.
Look, IF something were to form tonight & tomorrow, the main threats would be heavy rainfall, higher tides and wind gusts to 50+ that might cause power outages. I'll have a podcast out later this afternoon, but you must subscribe at bobbreck.com to hear it.
It only costs $2/month and it supplements my WVUE Face book post. The surface map does have that weak low down in the Gulf and radar has lots of rain mainly offshore.
Current wind speeds are 30+ offshore and the east winds are resulting in some coastal flooding outside the levee protection system. A coastal Flood Advisory is in effect.
In addition, NWS has this graphic on their website for a "wind risk". Hey, this will not turn into an evacuation type storm, but let's pay attention tonight and on Sunday so no one is surprised if our weather goes downhill. podcast for subscribers coming after 5 PM. Stay tuned!
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