Jerry Forms In Atlantic, Karen Coming To Southern Gulf? Weak Front Here

This season's 10th named storm has formed out in the MDR of the Tropical Atlantic.  Like the previous storms this summer, Tropical Storm Jerry is predicted to make the turn to the north way before affecting the U.S.  However, he could brush close to the Virgin Islands before making the turn to the north on Saturday.  We begin with the wide satellite view with the circles indicating areas to watch.

At the moment, Jerry is not a large storm with a small burst of storms (red) around his center.  NHC is forecasting him to become a Category one hurricane for this weekend.

Tropical Storm Watches (Yellow colors) are up for the northernmost Islands, but it appears Jerry's main impacts will remain out to sea.  Closer to home, we have a mid-level circulation down over the Yucatan.

Even if something does develop later this week, it will remain over the southern Gulf.  A more interesting system is forecasted to develop along the Eastern seaboard.

Many models develop this system into a winter-like nor'easter for this weekend.  On top is the Euro for Sunday, followed by the GFS & AI for Monday.

As you can see, IF this storm develops, its rotation will bring us some drier and slightly cooler air for us this weekend. The upper pattern is slowly shifting, allowing cooler air to filter down from the north.

Most of the northern Plains and Great Lakes are in the 50s & 60s.

We will have a slight chance for showers ahead of the front on Wednesday.

It was another day of 90+ as we await the cooler weather behind the front.

Since it is still early October, this front will bring feel-good air and not sweaters and jackets.  A final note, The Jim Cantore Podcast is tomorrow.

If you want to see Jim talk about his career from beginning to end, you'll need to subscribe to my podcast at bobbreck.com.  It's only $2/month and I believe well worth it.  Future guests will be Bruce Katz, John Snell, Margaret Dubuisson, Zack Fradella & more.  Give it a try.  Stay tuned!