Since it's parade time and most folks are focused on timing and the rain threat, I've decided to do a podcast this afternoon, updating the latest thinking. You will not be able to see or hear me unless you are a subscriber. Go to bobbreck.com to sign up. Don't wait until hurricane season to hear "What does Bob think?" For now, let's review the setup. There is a deep complex trough along the West Coast with two distinct centers.
This morning's model runs have slowed down this system, changing the arrival time of the main rain threat. Here's what Zack had this morning.
Bruce indicated last night that the timing would be after Endymion was over, and it appears that is supported by the latest model runs. They lower the rain threat on Saturday's parades but increase the threat for Sunday's parades. Here's the timing.
So the biggest parades (Iris & Endymion) on Saturday look mostly dry. I'd have some rain gear handy just in case we see a stray shower. I grabbed these graphics from The Weather Channel this morning. They keep the area for any severe storms on Saturday to our west.
What concerns me is the models slow down and hint at a southern surface low slowing down for Sunday. That could linger some showers for Sunday's daytime parades, but Bacchus should be fine. One thing we do know is that temperatures will remain mild.
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Timing is everything, and I'll go into what could go wrong with the forecast on my podcast later this afternoon. Go sign up to watch it. Stay tuned!
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