Tuesday, March 31, 2026

Boundary Has Weakened, Fewer Storms Wed-Thursday, Cold Front Easter Sunday

 The surface boundary that has enhanced our shower activity for the past 2 days appears to be weakening/dissipating.  That should mean our shower coverage might be less than today's 50-60%.  Fewer storms should allow us to reach the low to mid 80s the next several days.




The storms over land are the result of daytime heating, while the cluster off the mouth of the river is the remains of that boundary.




The FOX 8 extended indicates 40% chance of rain the next 4 days.  I'm thinking Wednesday & Thursday will see fewer showers.  Friday might see an increase as an upper low over Mexico lifts to the NE.





With the upper flow over the nation from the SW, no cold fronts can reach us.  Models are showing a moderate front coming for Easter Sunday, but it's too soon to determine exact timing.




The upper energy with Sunday's storms will be well to our north and that should mean any severe threat here will be slim to none.  The main concern might be heavy rains as this will be a slow moving front.



Bottom line, after 2-3 weeks of dry weather, rain chances have returned. You need to keep some rain gear handy.  Let's see if my thinking is correct for less shower coverage (20%) for Wednesday & Thursday.  Otherwise, we're beginning to feel and look more like summer time.  Stay tuned!














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