Hi Gang, I haven't forgotten about you. It's just the lack of weather changes that makes posting difficult since it's hard to find stuff to talk about. We're 6 weeks from the start of the 2026 Hurricane Season, but the western Pacific is off to a roaring start with Super typhoon Sinlaku. It has been battering several islands (Guam), but it remains mainly away from major land areas.
It is expected to recurve to the northeast and not threaten Japan. There is a rule regarding western Pacific Typhoons/hurricanes. Generally in 10-14 days, their energy will move across the Pacific and enter the United States sometimes creating some wild weather. Right now, it MIGHT deepen an east coast upper trough that could bring us a cold front for late April into early May. Let's watch to see if that happens. We do have a cold front coming for late this weekend, but not until Sunday as a big upper ridge covers the Southeast blocking any fronts from coming our way.
Over the western states is a deep upper trough with several disturbances rotating through it. Between the ridge and trough, the battleground is set for several days of severe weather. SPC outlines that risk, beginning with today, tomorrow and Thursday.
As you can see, SPC weakens the threat each day and does not move it toward us. WPC's 7 day rainfall outlook confirms that thinking.
They have 3-5" bullseyes far to our north with little, if any rain here. Bottom line, in the short term, we'll stay very warm & dry with a slight chance for a shower with the cold/cool front on Sunday.
SPC has two Tornado Watches (Red) & a Severe T-Storm Watch (Blue) issued for states in the warm air sector. None of that will come our way until the blocking upper high/ridge breaks down over this weekend. In fact, even when the front arrives, our rain chances look to be slim and none.
April fronts are no longer the cold blasts that can come down in March. However, the coming cooldown will be noticeable and we'll need sweaters and jackets after the sun sets. All stations are hyping the severe to extreme drought over Southeast Louisiana, especially south of Lake P.
My take is, it's not an emergency for farmers/gardeners just yet as our high temps are not 90+. Driving around, I don't see the neutral grounds turning brown. Now if this dry spell were to last into mid to late May, when daily highs will be flirting with 90+, then the extreme evaporation would creating problems. For now, water your potted plants and lawns if necessary. For my Podcast subscribers, I am working on my next podcast that'll deal with the 2026 Hurricane predictions. Sign up at bobbreck.com. Stay tuned!
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