Drier, Hotter Weekend Ahead, But Tropical Surge late Next week.

When I started in broadcasting with the late Roy Leep at Ch. 13 in Tampa back in 1971, there was no internet and we received our weather information via slow teletype machines.  Regarding tropical information, the NHC/government issued a statement "Not for public information" as they believed those not trained in meteorology could misinterpret/misinform others about the discussion.  Fast forward to now and anything goes.  All kinds of weather "wantabees" issue their own forecast without having earned the credentials that qualify them as being knowledgeable.  Here's an example I found today.

I've searched the models and can find NOTHING to support such nonsense.  The closest thing is the Euro & WPC's 7 day rainfall which does have a heavy rain band near us.  The Euro is on top.

The bottom shows the current tropical moisture that has been pushed farther down into the Gulf.  As NWS indicates, some of that deep tropical moisture COULD bring back the heavy rain threat later next week.

So for now I rather tell you what we do know and that's the central and southern Gulf still has that deep tropical moisture well to our south.

At the moment, drier air has invaded the western Gulf and that should overspread us this weekend as the Gulf moisture turns toward Florida.  Until I have something to follow and models latch on to a day by day model run consistency, then let's ignore the internet chatter and enjoy our weekend.

Without a strong upper high, rain chances will not be zero, but more like typical summertime (30-40%).

There is a stalled front to our north and the good feel air is north of that.  South of that (dew points 70+) it's sticky and almost hot.

 

As our rain chances decrease, temps may warm to 90+ this weekend.  get use to it as we have at least 3 1/2 more months before real cold fronts return.  Get out and enjoy this weekend using common sense and sign up for my podcast as there are signs tropical activity could be on the increase as the MJO goes into the favorable phase for the next several weeks.  Stay tuned!