After 7 days of glorious sunshine, I have returned to what has been an ugly pattern of gloom & often wet locally. Fortunately, it's been mostly nuisance rain with little flood issues, but the NWS is keeping us in a Flood Watch Through Monday night. Here's why.
The upper low remains over Texas with a split in the flow creating some heavy storms down over the Gulf. What we don't want to see is those heavy storms coming our way and I don't see that happening. In fact, storms have been weakening this afternoon as they mover inland over SE LA/MS giving us mostly light rain.
As you can see, we have no fronts around so our weather is caused by an upper trough to our west creating a SW flow of moisture that over time is slowly weakening. WPC's 7 day rain total keeps drifting it eastward, but we remain in the 4-6"+ rain totals over the next 7 days.
What the Water Vapor image shows in the bottom view is the lack of any upper level high pressure. Consequently, with cold air aloft, that is an unstable set up that explodes into daytime heating storms. The heaviest storms are to our east and south with only some light rain across most of NOLA. Certainly that's no reason to go out for dinner and support our local businesses as any threat for flooding is slim to none this evening.
My opinion is to keep the rain gear handy for most of this week, but isn't that what we do most afternoons during the summer? Finally,
The scenery of Albuquerque & Santa Fe is spectacular and my time with my 2 older sons PRICELESS. We will do a podcast later this week so go sign up at bobbreck.com. Stay tuned!
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