Thursday, June 11, 2026

Gulf System Unlikely, Heavy Rain threat Next Week.

NHC stopped all advisories on Christina as her circulation is no longer visible on satellite views.  What is visible is the surge of tropical moisture entering the southern Gulf.  NHC continues to give this area a slight chance for development over the weekend.




The Tropical Wave will be steered westward by the nose of the Bermuda High.  Development will be hindered by an upper low over the Gulf with lots of dry air covering the western Gulf. It's why NHC only gives this area a 10% chance to develop.


By late Sunday into Monday, a weak cold front will sag into northern Louisiana, becoming stationary before reaching us.  That stalled boundary will be the focus for heavy rains early next week.



Typically, these late fronts run out of support and stall over northern Louisiana.  That is where WPC's Flood risk is centered for next Monday & Tuesday.



WPC's seven-day rainfall has 4-7" totals across most of LA/MS/AL so we'll need to pay attention in case the frontal boundary gets closer to us.  For now, we're just hot and dry.

 

The next two days will see little, if any, rain but by Sunday rain chances start to increase.  That should result in less hot temps for next week.  Stay Tuned!

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