Hello Bay St. Louis, Gulf Disturbance Not Happening This Week, Wet Saturday

Yesterday I took the Mardi Gras Train on over to Bay St. Louis for a day trip.  What a hoot as the train takes you over sections of the Louisiana marsh I have never seen.  The ride is so smooth and comfortable while you watch the eye candy out the windows.

OK, so drinking champagne at 8 AM is not something you do every day, but our group of 5 had a ball!. Our friend Mindy took this photo of Ward, Becky & Val & I.  Not quite sure what the lady in the red dress was doing?!!!  I understand the train is way more crowded on the weekends, so going during the week is the way to go.

We got off the train and onto a golf cart we had rented in advance.  It was waiting there for us, and I suggest you do the same if you go.  They have many shops to visit & the girls bought several things.  We finished at the Butcher Block Beer Garden.

Our beer tender Sarah, made sure we were well taken care of, and the food was terrific & the beer cold!  Hail Bay St. Louis!  What A great small town!  Now back to the Tropics.

Despite an old frontal boundary dissipating over the eastern Gulf, upper wind shear is way too strong to allow for any development.

I have found what appears to be a small swirl just south of the mouth of the River, but there is no weather with it.

In fact, despite all the predictions for heavy rainfall, today was like a basic summer day with morning sunshine bubbling up some daytime heating showers.  No big deal. it's really hard to find the front on the surface map.

Yesterday's low dew points (50s & 60s) have retreated back to our east, while 70+ dew points have surged northward into Iowa. As the surface high drifts away and the frontal boundary dissipates, the NWS Coastal Flood Advisory should be cancelled later tonight.

We should see a little more of the Gulf moisture move over us on Saturday, but looking into next week, the trend should be drier and hotter.  Looking down the road 7-10 days, both models hint at tropical development in the Gulf.  The Euro centers it south of us (top view) while the GFS is is close to agreeing (bottom view).

Again, these are computer model guidance a week away, so we have plenty of time to watch it.  Next week's podcast will again focus on Gulf development.  Thanks to those who have recently signed up. Stay tuned!