NHC continues to slowly increase the chances for tropical development tomorrow into early next week in the eastern Gulf. They are following model guidance that brings the disorganized system northward and then turns it to the west towards us. However, morning satellite views still have the "disturbed weather" sinking southward.
Watching FOX Weather and you saw these graphics.
Zack Fradella on FOX 8's morning news has this solution for Tuesday morning.
Yikes, that sure looks like a Tropical Depression or Storm just SE of the mouth of the River. However, as I mentioned yesterday, computer models are not very accurate with solutions for weak & ill-defined storms.
If the current trend on satellite views continue, then perhaps a track much farther to the south over the central Gulf could happen. The forecast challenge, RIGHT NOW, is we have no surface center to track. Because of this high uncertainty, I will do a special podcast later this afternoon. To watch and hear what I think, you have to become a subscriber at bobbreck.com.
According to FOX Weather, NHC has just made the area in the eastern Gulf Invest 91 L, meaning computer track models can be run. So go sign up for my podcast. The cost is only $2/month and allows me to expand on what I post on my Bob Breck WVUE Facebook post. Could we have Bertha coming soon? Stay tuned!
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