Tropical Storm Fay was named way, way out in the NE Atlantic and will never affect any land areas. She is NOT a wasted name, as satellite views confirm Fay is a legitimate Tropical Storm. In fact, NHC does make her a hurricane later tonight, finally ending the drought as the latest Hurricane in the modern satellite era. Let's begin with where she is and why she's named.
I have no problem upgrading Fay based on satellite loops that clearly have a concentration in the core
of storms around her center of rotation. Compare that to the two rotations in the Gulf.
The swirl over the western Gulf is low-level, but it lacks any storms with it. The upper low over Tampa
has storms around it, but they are over land caused by daytime heating. The Water Vapor loop
shows the Gulf remains a hostile environment for any tropical development.
The water vapor also shows how the lingering upper Heat Dome is being weakened by gathering cold air over the northern states.
Look at all the 50s & 60s north of the front. It won't happen this week (weak humidity front), but I see a real cool front coming that 1st week in October.
In fact, I've placed a call to the "Fat Lady" to see what her availability is after October 10th. None of the models have any tropical threat in the Gulf for the next 10-14 days. It gets you wondering about what's coming this winter?
Could it be back-to-back January snows? Who's dreaming of a White Christmas?!!! Stay tuned!
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