October started off with a wet first week with 2.44" falling at MSY. That total means we will not be in the top ten driest Octobers. Some of you have commented about it being so dry, but historically, October is our driest month. Only the last 3 weeks have been dry.
I think the more telling statistic is how warm we've been continuing the warmth from this past summer. I suspect we will easily be in the top 5 warmest Octobers as the next 7 days appear likely above normal.
So why have we stayed so warm after having the first real cold front last week? It's the upper air pattern that keeps reverting back to the upper trough over the west and a ridge over the east.
What we have set up is called an "Omega block" with low pressure over the Rockies & Bahamas and an upper high in between. This often results in a stalled surface pattern that doesn't change for days, sometimes weeks. As the extended shows, there MIGHT be a front approach us for next weekend on Halloween night, but most of this week will remain warm & dry.
It is winter-like behind that stalled frontal boundary with most of the eastern states enjoying "Indian summer". The turning of the leaves producing Fall colors is in full swing.
This picture was taken by my friend Carolee Miller in Pennsylvania while she was attending her 60th High School class reunion. That's what I miss about my time in Ann Arbor.
If you have lived in the South all your life, you can't believe how the leaves put on a show before the coming of the cold & snow. Sometimes we see a little display of colors, especially north of Lake Pontchartrain. You can see the colors on line without having to go north into the "cooler" air. Stay tuned!
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