Thursday, September 19, 2019

Imelda Keeps Being Huge Rainmaker...

Even though the center of TD Imelda is near Tyler, TX. the main rain bands continue to be along the coast.  Parts of Beaumont have received over 40"+ and sections of I-10 were closed as water flowed over the roadways.  The remnants of Imelda are drifting slowly to he NW so the heavy rain threat for east Texas will continue for awhile.

The rest of the Tropics are active with Humberto racing into the north Atlantic, Hurricane Jerry churning and getting stronger out in the Atlantic, a small low level swirl south of Puerto Rico with several waves way out in the Atlantic.

 

NHC only gives the swirl south of Puerto Rico a 10% chance for development as wind shear appears to be too strong.  Jerry is showing a track that will turn it out into the Atlantic with no threat to the U.S.   As we near late September, it is difficult for any system coming off of Africa to make the trip all the way across into the Gulf.   We should focus on the Western Caribbean and Gulf during the next 2-3 weeks as that is where (climatology tells us) we might see a future threat.  Models are not showing any real cold fronts for the next 10-14 days.  A weak boundary coming in from the NE (backing in) will give us slightly drier air for Saturday, but there are no signs that sweater weather is coming...Yet!  Stay tuned!

No comments: