Ana & Bill, But Danger maybe in Gulf?

As promised days ago, the Tropics are going "nuts". Yea we have Ana & Bill, but they are soooo far away it's FOOLISH to speculate where they "might" go. Safe to say we have over a week to watch & prepare IF they get into the Gulf. Of more concern to me tonight is what appears to be TD # 4 developing west of Ft. Myers in the eastern Gulf. NHC says there is "Low" probability of this becoming a storm...however, a look at radar loops tonight reveal a well defined circulation and a check of nearby buoys indicate surface pressures have started to fall. As I have said many times in the past...I don't start to worry until a storm gets in the Gulf. Although this is not a storm yet, it is in the Gulf and over some of the warmest waters with reduced upper wind shear. If you get up for church tomorrow and notice a marked increase in wind speeds...it's more than likely we have a developing tropical system close to home. Yea we do have 2 growing named storms way out in the Atlantic, but forget about them for now and focus your attention on closer to home. I'll try to have a midday blog update on Sunday