Having a couple of days off, I was able to watch all 4 weather programs on the local channels tonight. Before I did that, I visited the NWS' website to learn what they were thinking. It's a wonderful site, now filled with terrific graphics that explain the weather story. I suggest you visit it. Obviously NWS has a Winter Storm Watch out for tomorrow North of Lake P. All of the local weathercasts said that in various degrees of explaination and, if it does snow Northshore tomorrow evening, all will be right. However, I just wish someone had the courage to explain why they feel all the ingredients won't be there for the 1-3" now predicted.
Looking at the latest models, I still feel/believe what I said yesterday. 1) Temperatures won't be cold enough (keep watching SAT & HOU temps), 2) moisture will be limited, and 3) upper trough is progressive and not digging like the cut off low that triggered last year's (Dec. 11th) snow did, and 4) the Gulf low will not develop much as it races quickly out to the ENE far down in the Central Gulf. Yes we will get cold enough Northshore to snow, but that won't happen until after the moisture has been swept away. If it snows tomorrow, I'll put more future faith in them(models), but I'd rather be the only one right as there is no glory in everyone being wrong.
6 comments:
Soo.. what is the NWS seeing that you guys are not for them to have such confidence??
MITCHELL...you miss my point. ALL TV weathercasters get their "base" information from the National Weather Service. IF you truly are a "meteorologist" PLUS you have many years of experience in one location, then you should be able to "add on" to the info from NWS instead of just repeating it. Too often, folks are afraid to fail so they take the safe route and just repeat what NWS says...but they call it "MY" forecast. This AM NWS has backed down from 1-3" to 1/2 to 1". Staying with my earlier blog.
I see what you're saying breck, and it makes sense. Which makes me wonder, with fraudsters dictating climate change, supposed experts pumping wrong forecasts, and customer service becoming beyond rude, what is going with the community in general?? I haven't asked but by reading you strike me as a conservative. Do you agree it's a problem with education? And if the framers intended for the states to take care of education for themselves, what has happened at a state level?
I agree with you Bob but I also think that local weathermen like you can "dig in" more deeply since the area that you have to worry about and forecast is a lot smaller...On a larger and national scale they would need an army of a few hundreds to add their own twist to the NWS forecasts for every state /areas..AM I wrong?
Exactly the reason I mentioned last week why we love you Bob!!! Some of the local weather people sound like puppets. I am always glad to see when you disagree because there is always a weather lesson to be learned.
POMPO...you are correct. What I & others do locally can't be done on a wider scale. I think Dr. Steve Lyons on TWC does an excellent presentation with hurricane forecasts, however, any disagreement with the NHC forecast must stay with the local experienced weather person.
Post a Comment