NHC says Tropical Storm Colin will be named on Tuesday. Most computer models turn this system northward long before it can threaten the Eastern U.S. coast. Of more concern is a wave in the eastern Caribbean. One model develops this once it gets over the Western Caribbean on Thursday and heads it towards the Yucatan Channel on Friday. That's the one we need to watch.
Locally, it's da heat! Tonight's VIPIR run shows increasing shower chances the next 2-3 days. If true, that would help keep temps. below the records (97 MSY, 99 A.P.) for Tuesday. Careful when you're outside working in the yard.
6 comments:
Strictly for what it's worth from my own strictly amateur examination of the model run it looks more like the system that's in the Yucatan Channel 120 hours from now appears to be something totally new and not related to the other cloudiness near the coast of South America right now. Is that correct?
Also, if a storm is tracking really that far south of Jamaica how often have such storms hit southeast La.?
Which brings up another question: how often have the models correctly predicted that initial formation of a storm as opposed to the track of a storm that's already formed?
Having said that, if the weatherman is saying to watch the system when it's that far away and not yet even a tropical depression that's saying something.
Only three more weeks till my cruise, so I just don't want any storms near the Yucatan or NEW ORLEANS.... no cruise insurance so I'd better be going no matter what... So far, we have been very very lucky this year with tropical systems. Hopefully August and September will be uneventful and we'll have another year past us. I'm ready to start gathering my firewood! I've had enough hot weather to last a lifetime.
Bob is it just me or are they (NWS) naming these storms way too early? They named Bonnie got everyone watching to see what happens then nothing. Now we have Colin, all the forecast show it as a disturbance in a day or two. What gives?
On another note I am not a fan of Dr Gray and his doomsday predictions year after year. What really angers me is how he keeps "updating" his predictions as the season goes on. Then he looks like a genius in November. Anyway had to vent, keep up the great work.
Is there even a purpose for their ridiculous predictions? What difference does it make? Seriously? It doesn't change the odds that any particular city gets hit or not. If you do happen to get hit, all it takes is 1 storm to be devastating, regardless of what the prediction is.
Here's my prediction for tomorrow, it will be hot and it may or may not rain.
National Hurricane Center not the NWS names storms and as soon as they meet the criteria (winds etc.) to be named they are named even if they are expected to fizzle out. ALL hurricane predictions are updated no matter who made the prediction, just like local meteorologist update their local weather forecasts including those issued by the NWS.
pamedee...you talking about the stock market? "It may go up or it may go down. Can't tell you how much or when". A stockbroker, plus they get paid either way! Yea, Kinda sounds like a weather person too !
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