Friday, March 4, 2011

Saturday Looks Soggy...

This morning's VIPIR run began to trend closer to the GFS & NAM model solutions predicting the rain threat lingering well into Saturday evening, instead of being mainly east of the city before noon. None of the models picked up on the 4-6" of rain that have swamped areas just to our west and north. Luckily, tonight's parades were able to roll. That does not look likely for Saturday. The evening parades already have been cancelled and I expect the same will happen to the midday parades. The Gulf is open for business and, as an upper disturbance approaches Saturday morning, I expect the atmosphere will be primed for significant rain development. It's too bad the bad weather will wipe out most Saturday parades, but the weather after that looks dry thru Mardi Gras.

Keep up on the weather on Saturday as there is a slight chance we could see some heavy/severe T-Storms between 10 AM-4 PM.

5 comments:

Wiley said...

Prayers go out to the families that have been hit with the tornado earlier today.

Chuck said...

That viper sure is taking heat this week among the locals. I guess if it's 50/50, thats all you can ask for.

Chuck said...

I guess the viper wasn't too good this past weekend. I hope it's tweeked a bit before Hurricane season.

Bob Breck said...

Yea I was disappointed in VIPIR on Thursday, but if you watched Nicondra on Friday, it had the storms right on us Saturday morning into PM. It's only one model, but it was the only model that predicted Hurricane Charley turning into Ft. Myers several years ago. That's why my headline read...hope VIPIR is right.

Anonymous said...

VIPIR didn't show that until the storm was basically on us by a couple of days...