Question was "how was NHC wrong"? Frankly, everyone has been wrong with one thing or another. NHC was too slow on moving Lee to the coast while our VIPIR model was faster. VIPIR was wrong on the location as were all models not forecasting Lee to stall and move westward. However, many models did predict Lee might make several loops. Let's face it, this has not been a "normal" storm. Tonight's radar loop, to me, has Lee making such a loop that has taken the center back out into the Gulf. Let's hope that is temporary as NHC says Lee should start his NNE movement before daybreak. Because of that, FOX 8 will be doing hourly cut ins all night and I'll be back on-air with Dawn Brown for a special 6-10 AM newscast on Sunday. If Lee follows the NHC track, impacts will be greater across the North Shore on Sunday. And all this time we haven't even mentioned how Katia may threaten the east coast next week!
In the short term, after one more day of some showers and gusty winds along with the tropical muggies...Lee's rotation will bring down a "real" cold front for Tuesday thru Friday with nighttime lows in the 60s on the S-Shore(50s NS) and daytime highs mid 80s with low humidities and plenty of sunshine. It'll be an early October preview that will be much welcomed!
5 comments:
I think Bob is the best weatherman in the area when it comes to tropical systems. But all the praise for VIPIR model is confusing to me. The Thursday and Friday VIPIR model was as for off the track as any other models on Lee. VIPIR had Lee going below New Orleans leaving NO on the dry side, not the case it is stall out and many of the other models picked up that. Anyway just my two cents
Hey Bob! I just wanted to say to you and the other weather watches at Fox, thank you for updating us through this storm, as well as other storms. People don't give enough credit where credit is due, so thank you!!
Lee could and that's a big could bring Katia to the east coast.
I asked all of my friends, "Which weatherman do you watch"? Each of them replied, First, Bob Breck, Second, Margaret Orr....and they nor I didn't know who any of the others were.
I hope you will approve my comment as , Truth be known! Thanks Bob we miss you when you are not on TV all the time!
Bob when and how bad will the winds be on the northshore?
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