Sunday, July 20, 2014

Give Me Back My Summer Pattern !!!

Those of us who have lived here a long time (30-40 yrs.) know it "normally" rains everyday in the summer.  The showers form along the coast before daybreak (a few waterspouts) and diminish as storms reform over land during daytime heating.   What the heck was going on the past 3 days?   Geez, even the ducks are tired of the rain.   Unfortunately, at this time of the year, cold fronts usually run out of momentum (forward push) as the upper level steering winds weaken the further we get into June, July & August.   However, we have seen a persistent upper East coast trough drive 2 fronts off our coast already this July.    This last front ran out of gas and stalled right over us.   The leftover frontal boundary, coupled with daytime heating & minor upper disturbances, provided the trigger for widespread and heavy rainfall of 2-5"+  since Friday.   It finally looks like the boundary is dissipating and moving down into the Gulf which should result in a more "normal" summer pattern that gives us some sunny breaks in between the scattered daily showers.   Rain everyday?  For sure, but not rainy all the time...depressing.   I want to see a sunny, Good Morning Monday!

NHC is so bored that they have labeled a weak wave way out in the Atlantic as Disturbance 1 with less that 10% chance of developing.   With the MJO currently in the descending air phase, plenty of African Dust Plus wind shear ahead of it, why bother?   Regardless, we are still 3 weeks away from the heart (Aug. 10 thru Sept. 30th) of the 2014 Hurricane Season.    The next 8-9 weeks are the most difficult time of the year for us since it is historically the hottest (July 25 thru Aug. 10th) time and the steering currents go away, meaning air movement is limited to land/sea breezes and downbursts in storms.   Yuck is a good way to describe how one feels outdoors.  Bring on those early Fall cool fronts!

1 comment:

mikey said...

they really got bored at the nhc.they declared that thing in the atlantic a depression.