It started last Friday and today marks day 4 of folks hyping computer models hinting low pressure might form later this week off Florida’s east coast. In discussing tropical systems, I always like to tell you what I know and then what I don’t know. So let’s begin
1) There is nothing there yet.
2) Strong SW winds cover most of Florida’s east coast.
3) An upper trough is over the eastern Gulf – hostile tropical environment
4) Anything that MIGHT develop will take many days
5) History/climatology tells us May storms are rare
What we don’t know;
1) Computer models don’t agree on a solution
2) When people will turn off from the overhype
So, we will likely stay mostly dry for the rest of this week with only a stray shower or two. Our next real rain chance arrives over next weekend, especially late Sunday into Monday. Stay tuned!
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