Sunday, August 27, 2017

Harvey Midday Update

Radar estimate shows areas around Houston already have 20-25” with another 20-25” possible!

 

 

 

 

The beauty of Mother Nature often is overlooked due to the tragedy created by monster storms.

 

 

 

Harvey is essentially stationary between Houston and Victoria with a slight drift to the SE.   As usually happens with land falling storms the concentrated energy slowly dissipates outward expanding the storm’s influence.  Harvey’s rain shield has grown into Louisiana with SW & western Louisiana now in on the flooding rainfall.     We don’t want to see any great eastward drift as that would bring the flooding rain threat closer to us.  That is NOT expected RIGHT NOW.   I would prefer Harvey resume a northward drift away from the Gulf as part of his circulation is still over water.   Unless we have a band of heavy rain develop across SE LA/MS. And the “training effect” sets up, I don’t anticipate major issues from 2-3” here as there should be breaks between storms allowing the pumps time to catch up.  Let’s not totally rule out an eastward drift as computer models still have Harvey stalled for another 2-3 days.  Bottom line…don’t travel west unless you have a real family emergency.

 

92L is developing a circulation and Irma is likely to form in the next 12-24 hours.  She will be east of Florida and not our problem.  Models are indicating a wave coming off of Africa will develop into Jose in the 7-10 day time frame.  Geez, I’m retired yet I’m exhausted from dealing with all these storms!  Not really,  as I enjoy talking about the Tropics.   I had some really good mentors in Roy Leep, Dr. Neil Frank, Dr. Bob Sheets and Max Mayfield. Not being with government, I can say things that I feel instead of just repeating the company line.  Stay Tuned!

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