August is Awful

Just me, but every year it seems like August is the longest month.  Sure it is 31 days, but perhaps it’s just the fact that we’ve been in Summer since mid-May and even I, a devote lover of the heat, finally start to get irritated by the heat and long for those Fall cool fronts to arrive.  Models are showing none of that, however, several now indicate the waves coming off of Africa during the first week in September will have some organization.  Don’t be surprised to see a burst of activity (2-3 weeks worth) beginning around the 5^th lasting towards the end of the month.   October could stay active, but the westerlies usually start to sink southward turning any tropical systems away from us.   This is the most active3-5 weeks, historically, for Hurricane development so don’t get over nervous as that increase in activity is typical for any given season.    Right now, we have nothing to track.

 

One of my favorite things I did as a broadcaster was to point out features on satellite loops.  Tonight’s water vapor has 4 well defined upper lows that make for a hostile environment from the Gulf eastward out into the Atlantic.  The 1^st is over the central Gulf heading towards the lower Texas coast. The second moving westward across Cuba with the 3^rd east of Bermuda and the 4^th way out in the Atlantic.   This pattern is called TUTT for Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough and is often around for weeks during the hurricane season.  One by product is increased wind shear and we all saw what wind shear just did to Hurricane Lane last week.   Stay tuned!