Morning Update...

There have been some changes over night, but nothing major.   1) The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a warning meaning SE LA/MS is likely to see some winds of 40-60 mph.  2) The centerline track has shifted another 20 miles farther to the north/east with the center landfall projected to  be EAST of the Pearl River.  This means the brunt of the heavy rains and strongest winds should be along the MS/AL Gulf coast.  Plenty of time for this to change, but as I pointed out last night, I’m liking the “trending”.   On south Florida radar loops, the center appears to be forming near Key Largo with much of the circulation staying over Florida today.  That should prevent any rapid intensification.   NHC also indicates there remains some upper wind shear so they keep the top range of winds before landfall at 60 mph.   There has been a burst of T-Storms overnight so once this gets away from land and over the Gulf, we should see it quickly organize into Tropical Storm Gordon.    All in all, the info so far this morning is better for us, worse for folks east of the track.  Stay tuned!  Next update around noon.