Saturday, February 2, 2019

Ground Hogs, Woolery Bear Caterpillars, Farmer's Almanac...

I'm always amazed by the number of people who truly believe in "weather folklore".  Back in the mid 70s, my competitor in Dayton, Ohio (late Gil Whitney) used the Woolery Bear Caterpillar as his "Schtick" in forecasting the upcoming winter weather.  For years people (especially Farmers) believed The Old Farmer's Almanac was based on science.  And since today is Ground Hog Day, a day where people believe if a RODENT sees or doesn't see his shadow, it "predicts" what the rest of winter will be.  Yikes!   Let me gulp another sip of my chardonnay less I lose all control.   Before you believers start trashing me, none of these "forecasting tools" offer any specifics.  The Farmer's Almanac often says they predicted the big snowstorm months in advance, when in reality they stated..." big blizzard over the Northeast in late January".  Really?   Wow, that's sticking their necks out.  Like saying Major hurricane in the Gulf in mid September.   I think we call that CLIMATOLOGY.   Whatever, all of these folklore make for interesting discussions, but rarely do they have much scientific connections. 

Locally, we have warmed up and will stay above normal for the next 7-10 days.  That will mean almost daily fog problems, especially near our cooler waterways.   Alaska has turned cold again (35-40 below) along with most of northern Canada.  Models are hinting several east coast troughs coming around the middle of the month and nationwide the weather could get very active with multiple snow storms followed by more below zero temperatures.   Sure our sun angle is getting higher and days are getting longer, but we can still have pipe busting freezes here until late February.   I don't like to see all that cold (which is normal) sitting up north waiting for another "Polar Vortex" to invade the lower 48.    Not going to happen next week, but beyond?  Stay tuned!

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