Tomorrow begins the month of May and that often signals the beginning of tropical Activity. During May, historically, there have been 50 Tropical Storms/Hurricanes. NHC has not started to about an areas of T-Storms over the southern Bahamas, but WeatherBell Analytics is. Joe Bastardi even stated he would not be surprised to see a surface center form as this disturbance drifts towards south Florida. Water temperatures are marginally favorable, but right now these storms are more a reflection of an upper level system.. Could it become a "sub-tropical/hybrid" system? Sure, but we are not in August or September. It's just a reminder that Hurricane season 2019 is only one month away. Ugh!
As mentioned last post, the main weather battlefield is across Texas through Oklahoma into Missouri up into Iowa & Illinois. Flooding rainfall is continuing along with a severe weather threat. With the upper flow over us from the SW, those storms will have trouble moving closer to us until the upper ridge flattens by the weekend. It still looks like Saturday is the main day for highest rain chances. That doesn't mean Friday & Sunday will be totally dry, but shower coverage should be less. Hearing about the dolphins dying in Mississippi Sound from possible effects of the Spillway opening, I hate to think the Corps may have to reopen it with all this new rainfall falling farther to our north. Regardless, the Mississippi will remain above 15 feet for most, if not, all of May. Stay tuned!
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