Friday, July 12, 2019

10 PM NHC Update No Surprises...

Here's what I gleaned from the latest NHC discussion.   "Barry has been  "meandering" the past several hours.  Translation...Barry has stalled as forward motion is WNW at 3 mph.  That's basically stationary as David pointed out.  They kept their centerline track the same (just west of New Iberia inland right over Lafayette) despite the "guidance envelope" (models) shifting slightly westward.  Also, despite the better looking images on satellite and radar, NHC kept the max winds at 65 mph.  They project Barry to become a hurricane before it reaches the coast shortly after daybreak.  Are we   "out of the woods" with Barry?  Absolutely NOT !  Remember, the cone of error is not the impact cone as we know impacts can be significant well away/outside the cone.  We just need to see if any bands of rain head in from the Gulf and set up a training effect for us tomorrow and even on Sunday.   My only fear is we wake up on Saturday to find Barry in the same spot with an eye forming and winds increasing.   FOX 8 will be broadcasting all night for you night owls and I'll join 99.5 FM WNOE-FM tomorrow morning at 9 AM.  

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