As I await the 10 pm advisory from NHC, let me tell you what I'm seeing. For the first time, the IR satellite loop is showing some higher(colder) cloud tops trying to wrap around the center of circulation which remain very broad. There is no well defined tight center, however, there appears to be a tight rotation trying to develop in the deep burst of T-Storms farther south of the last NHC location. It will be interesting to see what the new coordinates show since the 7 pm ones actually had a SW jog. Regardless, forward motion remains slow BUT both satellite & radar loops hint at a drift farther to the west which is good for us. In addition, the crest on the Mississippi River at the Carrollton gauge has been lowered down to 17.1 ft. That tells me Barry is moving more west than north taking the biggest surge to our west. I'm also feeling more confident that the earlier forecast of 10-15" rainfall totals for NOLA will be well to our west. I'm staying with my previous post of 3-5".
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