Watching David Bernard tonight and you really learned a lot about Hurricane Dorian. David pointed out what appeared to be an outer eyewall developing which would mean a slow weakening as the area of strongest winds expands outward. The IR satellite loop doesn't show that weakening and it still has no turn to the north yet. NHC is saying Dorian continues to slow down (west at 5 mph) and might even stall out overnight. I still see a slow westward push that could take the eyewall very close to the Florida coast during the day on Tuesday. NHC still keeps the center line track off the coast until it reaches the Carolinas. All I would say is unless the turn starts soon (next 6-12 hours), hurricane conditions will impact Florida's east coast during the day on Tuesday & Wednesday. The good news? Pressures have risen a little. That's about it. This will go down as one of the worst in the history of the northern Bahamas where many communities will be uninhabitable for weeks, months, perhaps years. Dorian will not surprise anyone along the U.S. east coast as modern technology has news outlets in 24/7 mode. As I said before, let's hope the turn starts later tonight.
As Dorian creeps up the east coast, his circulation will bring down some dry air over us allowing temps to approach near-record heat. We can handle it. Stay tuned!
Watching David Bernard tonight and you really learned a lot about Hurricane Dorian. David pointed out what appeared to be an outer eyewall developing which would mean a slow weakening as the area of strongest winds expands outward. The IR satellite loop doesn't show that weakening and it still has no turn to the north yet. NHC is saying Dorian continues to slow down (west at 5 mph) and might even stall out overnight. I still see a slow westward push that could take the eyewall very close to the Florida coast during the day on Tuesday. NHC still keeps the center line track off the coast until it reaches the Carolinas. All I would say is unless the turn starts soon (next 6-12 hours), hurricane conditions will impact Florida's east coast during the day on Tuesday & Wednesday. The good news? Pressures have risen a little. That's about it. This will go down as one of the worst in the history of the northern Bahamas where many communities will be uninhabitable for weeks, months, perhaps years. Dorian will not surprise anyone along the U.S. east coast as modern technology has news outlets in 24/7 mode. As I said before, let's hope the turn starts later tonight.
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