Monday, September 2, 2019

Dorian Finally Weakens, But Still Major Hurricane...



The current IR satellite pic compared to the one from last night clearly shows there has been a change in the structure of Dorian.  His pressure has risen from 910 mb to 922 with his winds dropping from 185 down to 155.   NHC mentioned since the forward motion has been so slow, some upwelling of cooler water is contributing to the weakening process.   Grand Bahamas has been lashed since last night and continues to get pounded today.   It's difficult to tell if Dorian is moving much, but if he is, it's a slow (1-2 mph) drift to the WNW.  Models continue to keep the centerline track east (offshore) of the Florida coast, but NHC continues to stress (rightfully so) any slight deviation to the west brings hurricane force winds to the Florida coast.  I feel for all the broadcasters who are putting in 12-16 hour shifts covering this storm.  During the 4 days of covering Isaac back in 2012, I lost 6 lbs as the constant stress factor burned off calories like crazy.   Another thing I noticed about Dorian is the structure of the eye as it has expanded since last night



This tells me the winds are lower, but they are spreading farther out from the center.  That's another reason Florida's east coast will probably experience some hurricane force gusts as Dorian passes offshore. While all this is going on, there is an area over the central Gulf that appears to be getting better organized.   With an upper high over the Rockies building our way, that will force this system to the SW AWAY from us.  So much to watch.  Stay Tuned!

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