Upper SW Low Remains Stalled...

Yesterday I talked about an upper low over New Mexico that wasn't moving.  Today that low has moved to the SW into northern Mexico with an upper trough bypassing it to the north.  That means the upper low will become "cut off" from the main jet stream keeping a SW flow from Texas into the Tennessee Valley.  That will mean a cold front should struggle to get through us on Saturday.

Right now it appears we could get into slightly drier air on Saturday before the best rain chances arrive on Sunday when the upper low is expected to move across us.   Note, almost every day into next week will have some rain chances until a stronger cold front arrives late next week.

What we don't want is for the frontal boundary to stall over us giving the potential for heavier rainfall.  Right now, we don't expect that to happen.

Today's almost hot temperatures created a Lake Breeze effect over the South Shore.  You can see the "shadow effect" of Lake Pontchartrain across the North Shore with no clouds while a narrow band of cumulus developed where the lake breeze collided with the southerly winds moving out of the Gulf.   I do see one more significant cool front late next week before we jump into the increasing summer heat of mid to late May.  Get ready Gang.  It's coming.  Stay tuned!