Weak Front Staggers Through For Now...

As we head towards the summer months, weather changes become more subtle due to the weakening of surface fronts and the increasing higher sun angle.  Yesterday we were near 90 with SSE winds bringing in lots of Gulf humidity.  Today we are 5-8 "less hot" with winds coming from the north.  Was that a front pushing through?

No it's not a sweater & jacket front, but it looks like it has pushed just south of us with a band of showers along the coast.  Dew points have fallen into the high 60s with some 50s just to our north.  Those coastal showers are quite heavy and are not moving so some folks could get 1-2" in a short period of time.

It won't stay there for long as we still have a stalled upper low over Mexico producing a SW flow with lots of clouds and showers back over Texas.

Note the lightning with the storms off the central Texas coast.  Models finally begin moving the low rather quickly to the NE on Sunday and that should bring a better rain chance along with the risk for some severe storms.

So the better rain chances will be late Saturday night into midday on Sunday with another round of strong storms coming Late Tuesday into Wednesday.  IF models are correct, the front coming next Thursday will actually bring some cooler air back, especially at night.  The top graphic is the severe threat (level 2) valid for Sunday.

My only concern comes from the 5 day rainfall graphic that has 3-5"+ across central & south Louisiana.  What we don't want to happen is for the frontal boundary to stall over us (like some past May floods) that could create a training effect.  No signs of that happening yet.  Stay tuned!