Will It Be Ana Or Bill In The Gulf?

My last post yesterday afternoon, I mentioned a system in the Gulf that bears watching.  Last night NHC begin to give it a slight (20%) chance for development.  This morning they have upped that to 40% while the system out in the Atlantic is at 90%.  So which one will become our first named storm?  My thinking is the Atlantic system will be first.

Notice how there seems to be a cluster of storms around the center of the Atlantic system while the Gulf disturbance doesn't have that.

So do we need to worry?  Only if you live outside the levee protection system where high water levels have covered many roadways.   The good news is things will start to improve for us later today as a strong surface high will steer the Gulf storm westward towards the central Texas coast.

Water temps in the Gulf are barely warm enough to support a Tropical (warm core) development, but there will be more heavy rains heading towards areas that don't need it.  The showers over us will pull farther to the west today with some afternoon sunshine making for a brighter PM.

The brisk east winds will continue to weaken through the weekend and that will allow water levels to slowly fall.  It could take until Sunday before those levels are back to "normal".

Bottom line, our weekend will not have any rain as high pressure to our east builds westward..  That will result in temperatures getting almost hot by Sunday into next week when we could see our first 90+ for this year.   I will update later this afternoon when we might have Sub-tropical Storm Ana out in the Atlantic or TS Bill in the Gulf.  Stay tuned!