Nicholas Barely A Tropical Storm, Rain Bands Separate From Center...

I remember during my working career it was the slow moving storms that really drained me.  The Hurricane threat lasted for days, and with Isaac's stall along the mouth of the River, I actually lost 6 pounds in three days.  Physically whipped and emotionally drained, I needed more than a chardonnay or two to recover  Nicholas moved inland well before dawn but has only staggered slowly to east of Galveston.

NHC's future track brings Nicholas into western Louisiana at a crawl only reaching Alexandria by Friday.  That keeps the heavy rain potential high all along the Gulf coast from LA. to FL.

I'm not sure another 6-10" is realistic since the main rain bands around Nicholas have been blown (decoupled) to the east away from the surface center.

You can see in the bottom photo all the brighter cloud tops way away from the center (arrow) that is still in Texas.  Radar confirms a drying trend is coming for most of us that may last for many hours.

It has hardly rained in Houston all day despite being so close to the center.  That drying trend is getting close to NOLA.

Notice what the clouds & all day rains have done to temperatures.  It's a rare day in mid September when we stay below 80.   Unless some storms form around Nicholas, I'm hoping models are overplaying our rain threat the next couple of days?

There is a cold front to our north, but it has no support to push it much farther to the south.  Note the 40 &50s dew points have moved over the northern plains where the air feels great.  We're stuck in the muggies for the rest of this week.

Finally, NHC is following two areas that might have tropical potential.  Fortunately neither will be our problem.  

We'll have many days to follow them.  No model is showing a threat in the Caribbean or Gulf during the next 7-10 days.  Stay tuned!