Next Cold Front Could Bring Severe Threat Late Thursday...

We are approaching Meteorological Spring (March, April, May) when Springtime warmer air battles retreating colder air of Winter.  Often severe weather develops in the warm air sector ahead of the front.  A strong dip in the jet stream over the West Coast today will quickly race across the country triggering lots of showers and storms.  Since we are under a fire danger advisory, we could use the rain.

The top graphic has the trough over the west while the southern stream has gone quiet.  The 2nd graphic is the SPC's severe threat for Wednesday with the next graphic valid for Thursday.  Clearly the threat is greater the farther north you go.  The bottom 2 graphics are the 7 day rain forecast with the red/orangish color being 3-5".  The colors on the North Shore predict 2-3" with 1-2" south of Lake P.  

The above graphics depict the upper air flow with the top having the upper energy (arrow) over CA/NV this morning with the 2nd being valid for Thursday morning.   With such rapid movement, the chances for a heavy/flooding rain event appear small.  The bottom graphic is valid 2 weeks from today (Fat Tuesday.  It shows a deeper upper trough that could mean a stormy last weekend leading into Mardi Gras.  We have many days to watch it.

Hard to tell what are clouds & what's snow cover up north.  What you do see is the warmer air (70s+) spreading over Texas and we'll be there tomorrow & Thursday.  Dew points have jumped into the 50s in coastal Texas and you'll feel the muggies by this time tomorrow.

Winds are back off the Gulf and our next issue may be some dense sea fog for the next couple of mornings.  We'll be much milder until our next front plows through late Thursday.

The weather for this weekend's parades look dry, but much older for Friday & Saturday.   Sunday does warm up for the daytime parades.  Next week could sneak up to 80 ahead of the next front?  It's that time of the year for wild temperature swings.  Finally...

As the Earth orbits around the Sun, the higher sun angles are returning to the northern hemisphere.  The arrows on the top view point out nighttime coming as the Earth rotates on its axis.  The middle has the South Pole still seeing sunshine while the bottom has the North Pole still in darkness (arrows).  Who knows what I'll find next?  Stay tuned!