The center of the circulation (yellow arrow) is slowly drifting to the west and I'm not sold on what computer models are showing for Thursday & Friday. I grabbed these graphics from David's 5 PM program.
Sure we should see increasing rain chances, but I remember a former co-worker of mine (Jeff Baskin) saying "when in drought, leave it out." I expect many dry hours with only 1-2 hours of late PM storms. Remember, 60% chance does NOT mean 60% of the TIME. It means coverage area will be 60%.
I'm hoping for rain, but expecting it to continue hot & dry. We almost made 90 today, but history tells us our 1st 90 happens during the 2nd or 3rd week in May so we're about right on schedule.
Most of the country east of the Rockies are hot and dry with some storms rotating around the "ring of fire".
Based on what I'm seeing on satellite pictures, my gut tells me rain chances stay low until the stalled upper low off the East coast begins to move.
The bottom graphic shows there's plenty of low level moisture around with dew points into the 60s up to Minneapolis and 70+ into Iowa. Will daytime heating be enough to trigger the storms models are calling for? We'll see.
Not everyone is feeling the summer warmth. Look at how chilly the West is under an upper low. The bottom satellite view shows why we need rain. Note the arrows pointing to fires burning. Stay tuned & keep watering those flowers!
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